Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000180 0.000201 0.000224 0.000250 0.000280 0.000311 0.000348
2025-01-12 0.000148 0.000176 0.000209 0.000248 0.000296 0.000350 0.000418
2025-01-19 0.000126 0.000159 0.000198 0.000249 0.000313 0.000391 0.000494
2025-01-26 0.000108 0.000142 0.000186 0.000245 0.000324 0.000424 0.000563
2025-02-02 0.000099 0.000136 0.000186 0.000256 0.000353 0.000483 0.000671
2025-02-09 0.000089 0.000128 0.000181 0.000260 0.000373 0.000530 0.000767
2025-02-16 0.000081 0.000120 0.000176 0.000262 0.000391 0.000576 0.000865
2025-02-23 0.000073 0.000112 0.000170 0.000262 0.000403 0.000615 0.000956
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000104 0.000162 0.000257 0.000409 0.000642 0.001032
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000097 0.000156 0.000255 0.000419 0.000678 0.001123
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000092 0.000152 0.000256 0.000431 0.000717 0.001223
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000087 0.000148 0.000255 0.000442 0.000755 0.001325
2025-03-30 0.000046 0.000081 0.000142 0.000252 0.000449 0.000788 0.001423
2025-04-06 0.000042 0.000077 0.000138 0.000251 0.000460 0.000831 0.001545
2025-04-13 0.000039 0.000074 0.000135 0.000253 0.000476 0.000882 0.001685
2025-04-20 0.000036 0.000069 0.000130 0.000250 0.000482 0.000915 0.001797
2025-04-27 0.000035 0.000069 0.000132 0.000261 0.000516 0.001006 0.002027
2025-05-04 0.000033 0.000067 0.000131 0.000265 0.000537 0.001072 0.002215
2025-05-11 0.000031 0.000064 0.000130 0.000268 0.000556 0.001135 0.002403
2025-05-18 0.000029 0.000061 0.000126 0.000267 0.000567 0.001185 0.002570
2025-05-25 0.000027 0.000058 0.000121 0.000262 0.000569 0.001215 0.002696
2025-06-01 0.000025 0.000055 0.000118 0.000261 0.000578 0.001260 0.002861
2025-06-08 0.000024 0.000053 0.000116 0.000261 0.000591 0.001315 0.003051